SINGAPORE - Singapore's economy shrank by 1.5 percent in the third quarter but avoided a technical recession after growth in the previous three months was adjusted up, government figures showed Friday.
The Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) said the export-driven city-state was still on track to achieve annual growth of 1.5-2.5 percent in 2012.
"Economic growth in
the second quarter was better than expected, resulting in an upward
revision of quarter-on-quarter annualised growth from the preliminary
estimates of minus 0.7 per cent to (plus) 0.2 per cent," it said.
The revision was thanks to new data showing stronger growth in both industrial and residential buildings, it added.
Construction expanded 14.3 percent in the June quarter instead of 0.9 percent as earlier estimated.
Two
successive quarters of negative growth are regarded as a technical
recession. Singapore is seen as a bellwether for Asia's leading
economies because of its sensitivity to world trade.
"Technically, we averted a recession," Song Seng Wun, a regional economist with CIMB Research, told AFP.
The
weak performance in the third quarter was largely due to a contraction
in the manufacturing sector, a key pillar of the Singapore economy, as
global demand for electronics goods declined.
"For the rest of the year, growth could be weighed down by the subdued global economic conditions," said MTI.
"Externally oriented sectors such as manufacturing and wholesale trade will be affected by the slowdown in advanced economies."
Construction and transport engineering however are expected to be healthy, it added.
In
a separate statement, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS)
maintained its policy of keeping a stronger local currency in a bid to
contain inflation amid price pressures from a tight labour market.
The
MAS said there was no change to the slope and width of its policy band
for the Singapore dollar as well as the level at which it is centred.
It
said that while Singapore's export-oriented sectors bore the brunt of
the downturn, construction and financial services were resilient.
"While
there remains considerable uncertainty over the evolving fiscal
situation in the US and eurozone, recent central bank policy initiatives
worldwide have reduced the risk of a severe global recession," MAS
said.
- AFP/ir